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Tweet Through games of Mar 15, 2015.

Texas Pan American

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:334.0
Current RPI:334
Expected SOS:327
Current Record:7-21
Expected Record:7-21
Current Conf Record:4-11
Expected Conf Record:4-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-15
Current OOC Record:3-10
Expected OOC Record:3-10
Expected OOC RPI:288
Expected OOC SOS:258


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2125.00%334.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas Pan American.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17UTSA (237.0)CUSAA62-63W100%0.0
11-26Utah (20.0)P12A85-48L0%0.0
11-28Alabama St. (258.0)SWACN79-91L0%0.0
11-29North Dakota (310.0)BSkyN78-60W100%0.0
12-4Houston (239.0)AmerA72-58L0%0.0
12-6Sam Houston St. (82.0)SlndA78-59L0%0.0
12-13Lamar (229.4)SlndH66-60W100%0.0
12-17Saint Louis (272.0)A10A75-69L0%0.0
12-19Creighton (151.0)BEA75-60L0%0.0
12-21Nebraska Omaha (300.0)SumA77-72L0%0.0
12-30Duquesne (221.6)A10A78-72L0%0.0
1-2Kent St. (94.0)MACA74-54L0%0.0
1-10Chicago St. (333.0)WACH64-59W100%0.0
1-12UTSA (237.0)CUSAH43-68L0%0.0
1-15Seattle (280.0)WACA70-47L0%0.0
1-17Cal St. Bakersfield (301.0)WACA66-53L0%0.0
1-22Utah Valley (308.0)WACH54-72L0%0.0
1-24Grand Canyon (273.0)WACH73-72W100%0.0
1-31New Mexico St. (103.0)WACA53-48L0%0.0
2-5UMKC (295.0)WACA70-45L0%0.0
2-7Chicago St. (333.0)WACA78-73L0%0.0
2-12Cal St. Bakersfield (301.0)WACH54-66L0%0.0
2-14Seattle (280.0)WACH68-57W100%0.0
2-19Grand Canyon (273.0)WACA64-59L0%0.0
2-21Utah Valley (308.0)WACA72-49L0%0.0
3-4New Mexico St. (103.0)WACH48-69L0%0.0
3-7UMKC (295.0)WACH53-51W100%0.0
3-12UMKC (295.0)WACN70-61L0%0.0